Inequality Happens in the Forex Market As Well
Sometimes
it feels as if we are running two worlds in parallel. Experienced
traders have seen their profits hit record highs during the pandemic.
Meanwhile, returns of less experienced Forex traders have plunged
dramatically. Experience seems to be the most valuable factor
determining the profits of a Forex trade during the pandemic period.To
get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
It
is a longstanding feature of a rigged system: less-experienced traders
suffer losses in a crisis, while experienced Forex traders make profits
from it. It has been highlighted after the financial crisis and is of
practical significance with the spread of coronavirus. And yet the
existence of inequality in the Forex market creates barriers among
traders. It‘s not true that traders don’t support the idea of using a
longer time to improve their trading skills. On the other hand, they
overwhelmingly support it, but many feel depressed and confused by the
hard-to-ease gap in knowledge as artificial intelligence overpowers
humans in trading opinion.
It
is not comfortable when new recruitment sits with the veteran, but it
only happens in understanding the inequality in trading experience and
how traders view the applications of trade strategies in the current
Forex market. The automated and algorithmic trading software sellers
have a role to play in manipulating public awareness. These sellers
focus on the dominance of experienced traders in the Forex market and
magnify the time cost of acquiring positive outcomes. They also
exaggerate products by offering solutions to shorten the experience gap.
And the pandemic enhances the awareness that the robotic trading
software has built an alternative and sole way to replace traditional
trading systems. Rather than applying the software, professional traders
with platforms switch the software off during the pandemic period. So
far these software has framed less stable profitability in the pandemic
economy but led to great losses and uncertainty.
Facing with the
upsetting performance of auto trading, the trading experience is the
last trump card we hold. Trading experience is so vital because this is
the process of establishing the trading system. An effective
establishment of the trading system involves time testing and profit
analyzing. The time span is selected to be the last six years and will
be updated from time to time. The individual trading system has to
incorporate personal trading patterns and expectations. So the
successful trading system varies from person to person. The Forex market
has always preferred sustainability to profitability. It is proved that
the greatest challenge the beginner has is to shorten the gap in time
testing. With the limitation in human learning patterns and the
intensity of market movements, surpassing a more experienced trader in
trading system efficiency is unlikely to happen.
The pandemic
allows beginners to compete with experienced traders in the Forex if
they adjust their information diagnosis. During the pandemic,
traditional indicators such as the labor market performance and central
bank decisions on interest rates have limited influence on the Forex
market. So studying the Forex markets history movements, along with the
revealing of the pandemic-related news, provides a shortcut to ease the
experience gap between traders. If traders doing GBP currency pairs
apply trading systems that focus on the pandemic, they are suggested to
adjust their trading strategies by focusing on the performance after the
pandemic and to adjust the time frame and trading volume to increase
overall profits and reduce the risk exposure. As the Coronavirus has
shed some light on the Forex market. It is no longer a matter of
experience and effectiveness, but the ability of traders to adapt.
USD Poised for a Nearing Rebound
Some investment banks
analyzed that the US dollar would decline sharply regardless of the
election results because its weak fundamentals are unchangeable. Such an
analysis, however, is untenable from my point of view. As different
results will lead to different political and fiscal measures, the
fundamentals will be affected and changed accordingly.To get more news
about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
The
tax cuts which Trump signed into law after he took office in 2017
significantly increased federal budget deficits, terminating the
dollar's long-enduring bull cycle. The DXY had climbed to a high of
103.77 in July 2017, compared to the low of 72.75 in 2011. The dollar
prices slipped from a position of strength amid the Fed's continued
tightening of monetary policy, which was pushed by Trump's tax reform.
The dollar's plunge shocked a host of analysts at the time, who said, as
they do today, that a Trump presidency would not change the
fundamentals of the strong dollar.
To
get back a little further in history, when Reagan defeated Carter to
become president, the country was suffering from a severe recession and
hyperinflation, and the dollar prices had dropped to an all-time low.
But the currency immediately embraced a bull market breakout after
Reagan won in November 1980, rising from 86 to a high of 163.83 in 1985,
a historic gain. These examples prove that different administrations
will launch different political and fiscal policies, which are important
enough to change the dollar's fundamentals. Besides the new president's
policies, the following two aspects will also affect the fundamentals.
The
first is the comparison in monetary policy between the Fed and other
central banks. Whether there is no need for the Fed to adopt more
quantitative-easing measures deserves attention as the GDP released last
week has indicated a steep economic rally. The Fed not only sees no
pressures of taking additional measures but will gradually reduce the
debt purchase and then signal the market exit. On the contrary, central
banks in Europe, the UK and Australia have a chance to continue the
ultra-loose monetary policies, such as applying more QE for economic
stimulus, which are bound to push a surged government debt and fiscal
deterioration, bringing devaluation pressure on local currencies.
Second,
Europe is experiencing a serious pandemic outburst. In response to the
situation, Germany, France and Britain have announced second national
lockdowns. New restrictions will hit local economies and send
lower-than-expected economic data to the EU and the UK. As a result, the
euro and the pound are more likely to be under pressure, while the US
dollar may receive strong support.
The dust has settled on the US election if nothing else, with Biden,
the Democratic presidential candidate, securing 279 electoral votes to
become the next president. The president-elect thus held two new
records: first, to win the election at the grand old age of 77; second,
to win the election with a record-breaking 75.55 million votes, beating
Obama's record of 69.5 million votes.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
When
the initial ballot count gave Trump big leads, the US dollar rallied
amid the board pressure on US stocks. However, the situation was
reversed later, sparking a sharp rebound in stocks at the expense of the
greenback. At first, worries about the pressures on stock markets,
which would be the result of Bidens significant tax increase after his
victory, prevailed financial market. But later, the fact that
Republicans remained in a Senate majority boosted stock markets as it
was expected that the Senate would not pass such a tax plan.
Nevertheless,
there remain some concerns behind the bullish stock markets. The first
is Trumps refusal to concede defeat. His campaign has filed lawsuits to
prevent final certification of the election results. Second is the
battle for Senate control. So far, the tally for the next Senate is 48
Republicans and 48 Democrats, which means Democrats will get a majority
in the Senate as long as they win two more seats. Considering the 100
senators in total, if the election leads to a 50-50 party split in the
Senate, the President of the Senate, who is also the Vice President of
the country, will have a tie-breaking vote. Normally, the Vice President
shall have no vote unless the Senate be equally divided. Thus the
current Senate elections are in favor of the Democrats. But investors
should keep a close eye on the results before feeling at ease.
A
chief reason for Biden‘s success is the sharp left turn of his platform,
which called for a substantial increase in taxes on high earners and a
100% increase in federal minimum wage from the current $7.25 to $15 an
hour. Significant wage increases are bound to pose headaches for
business owners and may result in stagflation, which will count heavily
against the country’s economy in the long term. Such a tax increase, on
the contrary, is expected to dramatically tackle the government
deficits, which will put a premium on the dollar. Trumps tax cuts that
were enacted after he took office boded well for US stocks at the
expense of the greenback, dragging the currency down for a whole year
despite the interest rate hike cycle at the time.
Therefore, from a
macro point of view, US stocks are likely to see a long correction
after the boom, while the dollar may rally on buying support after the
correction. In conclusion, investors in the stock market should keep in
mind that its too early to feel at ease about the current situation.
Gold Prices Set to Decline on Vaccine Shocks
The US drug
company Pfizer announced that the vaccine developed against the Covid-19
appeared to be effective, which fluctuated the financial market wildly.
Gold and crude oil staged strikingly different performance in commodity
markets, with oil prices soaring at the expense of gold prices. The
jump of oil prices in the short term is attributed to the rising oil
demand stimulated by the revenge recovery in the aviation and tourism
sector. But the slump of gold prices remains a mystery to which some
investors have not yet found the key.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
As
early as August 11, gold prices also plummeted when Russia announced
the registration of a new coronavirus vaccine. Thus the languish gold
this time dragged by Pfizer's vaccine news is just a repeat of history.
Ostensibly, the rising risk aversion punished gold in parallel with JPY
and CHF. But in a deep sense, Pfizer‘s success in developing vaccines
will significantly boost the US. The reason is quite simply: Americans
are the first to receive the vaccine. It will largely accelerate the
country’s economic recovery.
Pfizer's
effective vaccine will give more impetus to the US economy that has
already shown an outperformance. If the economic recovery sustains, the
Fed may get prepared to exit the market and raise interest rates. Gold
prices have a good chance to rebound both because the Feds reduction in
printing paper dollars (market exit) will swell the greenback and
because the risk aversion will be dampened. Notably, the new
administration could enact legislation that substantially increases the
minimum wage. It will lead to higher inflation and thus reach the
inflation target set by the Fed, which is a chance for the US to enter
the interest rate hike cycle early but will bring more pressure on gold
prices.
For several times I have shared such an opinion that
Buffett's purchase of gold mining stocks is not necessarily good for
gold prices, but now both the Buffett and ordinary traders are on golds
last train or even the wrong train. I firmly believe that besides the
above factors, future announcements claimed by other heavyweight
pharmaceutical companies worldwide on successfully developed vaccines
will trigger the shakeout again in the gold market. At present, spot
gold sees its major support standing at $1,848.45, where a breach below
will pave the way to $1,703.2
Demo account the most shining invention to improve trading performance
Demo
account is a revolutionary tool for any type of traders. All kinds of
investment is risky, especially for novices. Before trading, they need
to learn some tools and be familiar with the market and the mechanism
involved in the transaction. As for experienced traders, they can apply
new strategies and systems to trading by demo account. The demo account
can help brokers open up the market.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
1. The servers of the general platform are divided into: DEMO (virtual server) REAL (real server)
2.
For some trading platforms, the spread of their demo account is
different from the real ones. But most of platforms provide the same
spread in both demo account and real account.
3. The data transmission of some demo accounts will be relatively slow, depending on the specific platform.
4.
Under the conditions of large fluctuations or low liquidity, the
virtual account cannot show the real market performance, such as
slippage.
5. The biggest difference is that the funds in the demo account are virtual.
This
article will give you a general introduction of the demo account,
including its functions and features. A foreign exchange demo account
(Demo Account) is a type of trading account that usually “funds” traders
with some simulated currencies to allow them to conduct virtual
transactions and follow the ins and outs of the familiar platform.
Because it is a demo account, there is no real profit or loss for
traders.
The foreign exchange demo account provides traders with a
risk-free trading environment. The profits and losses in the demo
account will not be included in cost. Moreover, novices can learn the
knowledge of foreign exchange transactions and understand the types of
order, various functions of platform and the environment of trading
market, as well as how to use leverage through the demo account and risk
management.
For experienced traders, some innovative ideas and
strategies can be tested through virtual trading, and they can adjust
the performance of the strategy applied in the account to prepare for
the trading in real market.
To Carefully Balance the Effects of Pandemic and Vaccines
Financial
markets fluctuated wildly after Pfizer announced its effective Covid-19
vaccine last Monday. Since there are limited subjects for speculation,
talking points across financial markets ahead of Thanksgiving Day
remained to be the aftermath of the US election and the impact of the
resurgence of Covid-19 in the US and Europe.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
With
that said, however, financial markets are paying a close eye on
drugmakers' potential announcements about successful vaccine development
because such news will reverse the market trend. For example,an
investor who shorted US dollar index futures should be alert to the
retaliatory rally of the DXY in the case of another positive news on the
vaccine being announced by a large US pharmaceutical company.
There
are uncertainties in financial markets, but it is inevitable to see
more large drugmakers declaring effective vaccines. Such a trend will
underpin the DXY at the expense of the short-term Japanese yen. With
regard to gold prices, investors should balance the effects of pandemic
and vaccines when speculating so as to avoid another shakeout. While
speculation on the pandemic resurgence can be adopted only in the short
term, that on the vaccine should be considered for a long period, which
will recover economic activities.
Although
vaccines will definitely put a premium on oil prices, Biden's foreign
policies and energy policies will hinder oil's long-term development.
Thus it is worth repeating that investment in oil products, which is
inspired by vaccines, is acceptable only in the short term, no matter
profitable or not. As Biden's policies will be detrimental to oil prices
in the long run, the oil may give up large of the advances and drop
from the high level. In turn, investors should take the strategy of
selling high for gold as its prices are expected to be bearish in the
short, medium and long term.
Trading at the Right Time
The most obvious difference between
the forex market and other trading markets is the constant trading hours
and the unconstrained trading places. Trading at the right time helps
generate a great profit.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
In
other words, the forex market is a 24-hour non-stop market. The main
fluctuations and trading hours start from New Zealand‘s working Monday
morning to Chicago’s Friday afternoon. There is also a small number of
forex transactions at weekends of the Middle East time, but they are
basically negligible as normal inter-bank weekly exchanges rather than
speculation action. In summary, the forex market is a continuous trading
market that never closes.
In
the 24 hours, every trading session in the forex market has its own
moving patterns and characteristics. So we have to adopt corresponding
strategies at the appropriate time to increase the rate of return and
the risk exposure of trade.
1. The New York forex market is the
largest one in the United States. The market has established the most
modern electronic computer system. At 10:00 p.m. Johannesburg time, the
last transaction price in the market is the closing price of the
previous day, and the first transaction thereafter is the opening price
of the day.
2. The London forex market is a prestigious
international forex market. As the center of the European currency
market, the London forex market sees a large number of foreign banks
establishing branches here. In this market, banks and other financial
institutions operating forex trading have adopted advanced electronic
communication equipment and turned to be the center of Euro-Dollar
transactions.
3. Tokyo has developed its forex market from a
regional forex trading center to the third largest forex market in the
world following London and New York. Its annual trading volume ranks
third in the world. At present, the largest transaction in the market is
still the Yen-Dollar pair.
4. Hong Kong is an important
international financial center in the Far East. The market participants
are divided into three types: commercial banks, deposit companies and
forex brokers. Commercial banks mainly refer to foreign banking groups
composed of HSBC and Hang Seng Bank, which account for about 80% of all
market businesses.