Gold Prices Set to Decline on Vaccine Shocks
The US drug
company Pfizer announced that the vaccine developed against the Covid-19
appeared to be effective, which fluctuated the financial market wildly.
Gold and crude oil staged strikingly different performance in commodity
markets, with oil prices soaring at the expense of gold prices. The
jump of oil prices in the short term is attributed to the rising oil
demand stimulated by the revenge recovery in the aviation and tourism
sector. But the slump of gold prices remains a mystery to which some
investors have not yet found the key.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
As
early as August 11, gold prices also plummeted when Russia announced
the registration of a new coronavirus vaccine. Thus the languish gold
this time dragged by Pfizer's vaccine news is just a repeat of history.
Ostensibly, the rising risk aversion punished gold in parallel with JPY
and CHF. But in a deep sense, Pfizer‘s success in developing vaccines
will significantly boost the US. The reason is quite simply: Americans
are the first to receive the vaccine. It will largely accelerate the
country’s economic recovery.
Pfizer's
effective vaccine will give more impetus to the US economy that has
already shown an outperformance. If the economic recovery sustains, the
Fed may get prepared to exit the market and raise interest rates. Gold
prices have a good chance to rebound both because the Feds reduction in
printing paper dollars (market exit) will swell the greenback and
because the risk aversion will be dampened. Notably, the new
administration could enact legislation that substantially increases the
minimum wage. It will lead to higher inflation and thus reach the
inflation target set by the Fed, which is a chance for the US to enter
the interest rate hike cycle early but will bring more pressure on gold
prices.
For several times I have shared such an opinion that
Buffett's purchase of gold mining stocks is not necessarily good for
gold prices, but now both the Buffett and ordinary traders are on golds
last train or even the wrong train. I firmly believe that besides the
above factors, future announcements claimed by other heavyweight
pharmaceutical companies worldwide on successfully developed vaccines
will trigger the shakeout again in the gold market. At present, spot
gold sees its major support standing at $1,848.45, where a breach below
will pave the way to $1,703.2
The Wall